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HS 545: Crisis Investing, Supply & Demand Shock, Turning Inflation Into Wealth with Dan Amerman

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The big talk right now is that of supply & demand shock. Jason walks us through the current market trends and the developments leading to the inevitable supply/demand shock. Simple at-home lab experiments, like watching the prices change in airline tickets help illustrate this shock at work. 

Dan Amerman joins Jason in part II to discuss crisis investing. Dan, the author of Cycles of Crisis and the Containment of Crisis, takes us through his analysis of economic trends and changes due to coronavirus. As well, Dan advises on what we, the entrepreneur, should consider and how to take action, especially concerning advantages from understanding inflation. 

Key Takeaways:

[2:00] Proving the non-theoretical practice of supply/demand shock

[4:00] The misery index has high inflation and high unemployment at the same time

[7:30] Ex: Supply/Demand shock with oil companies

[11:00] Dan gives us the macro picture

[12:30] Cycles of Crisis and Containment of Crisis

[18:45] How do you quantify neighborhoods?

[21:00] We live in a way of debt and derivatives, will it be this way forever or does it have to reset at some point?

[22:20] Japanification is a very real scenario for a period of time

[26:00] Major corporations, when compared to the entrepreneur, have access to far lower cost liabilities, in that they can get free or cheap debt (getting paid to borrow or negative interest rates) 

[26:40] What action should people be taking now?

[28:30] What’s the way to distinguish inflation in terms of asset price inflation and consumer price inflation?

[30:30] Understanding price inflation (change in the value of money) and asset deflation (a decrease in the value of an asset)

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